Liga PortugalMatchday 9
Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%50%O2.568%64%|exp. goals 2.5 : 0.8
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.3under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.8under 4.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.9 : 0.6total 3.5Attack/defence2.5 : 0.8total 3.3
Sp Lisbon : Academico ViseuMost likely scores
Market2-013%3-012%2-18%1-08%4-09%3-1—1-1—Attack/defence2-012%3-010%2-19%1-09%4-0—3-18%1-18%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-012%3-03-012%3-010%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%4-04-09%4-0—3-13-1—3-18%1-11-1—1-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 94%91% | 91% |
| 12 – no draw | 88%84% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%84% | 84% |
| 1 – Sp Lisbon win | 83%75% · Elo 89% | 75%· Elo 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%50% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54%58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%50% | 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32%36% | 36% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 16%26% | 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%16% | 16% |
| X – draw | 11%16% · Elo 8% | 16%· Elo 8% |
| 2 – Academico Viseu win | 5%10% · Elo 4% | 10%· Elo 4% |
Attack vs defence
Sp Lisbon attack vs Academico Viseu defenceattack1738defence1416+322 pts to the attack
Academico Viseu attack vs Sp Lisbon defenceattack1431defence1630−199 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%59%
8.549%46%
9.537%31%
10.526%21%
Each team on its own
Sp Lisbonwe expect 5.8, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 67%
Academico Viseuwe expect 3.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 24.8 in this match, 25.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.550%56%
25.544%50%
26.537%42%
27.532%36%
Each team on its own
Sp Lisbonwe expect 11.8, league average 12.8 · chance of over 12.5: 40%
Academico Viseuwe expect 13.0, league average 12.7 · chance of over 12.5: 53%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 2.3 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.567%78%
2.541%51%
3.521%31%
4.59%18%
Each team on its own
Sp Lisbonwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Academico Viseuwe expect 1.0, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Sp Lisbon13 matches unbeatenat home: 7Went on 78%League 65%Model 94%Record 58
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sp Lisbon score 2.7 goals per game
- Sp Lisbon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Academico Viseu: 4 wins in a row
- Sp Lisbon: unbeaten in 13 matches
- Sp Lisbon concede a lot late on: 12 of 21 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Academico Viseu: newly promoted
- Sp Lisbon: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Academico Viseu: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu?
Sp Lisbon are the favourites. Chances: Sp Lisbon win 83%, draw 11%, Academico Viseu win 5%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu?
Expected goals: 3.5 (Sp Lisbon 2.9, Academico Viseu 0.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 68%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu?
The chance that both teams score is 43%.
When is Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu?
The Liga Portugal match kicks off 25 October 2026, 20:30 (UK time).