Liga PortugalMatchday 7
Sp Lisbon 2-2 Arouca: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Jose Alvalade, Lisbon
- Referee:
- David Rafael Oliveira da Silva
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won67%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
Other tips
- Corners: Under 9.5Won56%
under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (54% of league matches); 7.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.5 in the visitors', league average 9.4
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won46%
our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%52%O2.567%62%|exp. goals 2.4 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Arouca1:2Sp LisbonW
- Sp Lisbon6:0AroucaW
- Sp Lisbon2:2AroucaD
- Arouca0:3Sp LisbonW
- Arouca0:3Sp LisbonW
Sp Lisbon's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.0under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 9
RefereeD. Rafael Oliveira da Silva+0.7 cards vs average32 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.9 : 0.6total 3.5Attack/defence2.4 : 0.9total 3.2
Sp Lisbon : AroucaMost likely scores
Market2-013%3-013%2-18%1-09%4-09%1-1—3-1—Attack/defence2-011%3-09%2-110%1-09%4-0—1-18%3-18%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-011%3-03-013%3-09%2-12-18%2-110%1-01-09%1-09%4-04-09%4-0—1-11-1—1-18%3-13-1—3-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 95%89% | 89% |
| 12 – no draw | 89%82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%83% | 83% |
| 1 – Sp Lisbon win | 84%71% · Elo 80% | 71%· Elo 80% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 67%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: no | 58%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54%60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%38% | 38% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 16%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%17% | 17% |
| X – draw | 11%18% · Elo 13% | 18%· Elo 13% |
| 2 – Arouca win | 5%11% · Elo 7% | 11%· Elo 7% |
Attack vs defence
Sp Lisbon attack vs Arouca defenceattack1742defence1456+286 pts to the attack
Arouca attack vs Sp Lisbon defenceattack1481defence1644−163 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sp Lisbon score 2.9 goals per game
- Sp Lisbon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sp Lisbon: unbeaten in 11 matches
- Sp Lisbon concede a lot late on: 11 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Sp Lisbon: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Arouca: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sp Lisbon vs Arouca?
Sp Lisbon 2-2 Arouca (half time 2-0).
Did the Sp Lisbon vs Arouca tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.