CF Montreal vs Nashville SC: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.552%54%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nashville SC1:0CF MontrealL
- CF Montreal1:1Nashville SCD
- Nashville SC3:0CF MontrealL
- CF Montreal0:0Nashville SCD
- Nashville SC4:1CF MontrealL
CF Montreal's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.1 : 1.7total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.6total 2.8
CF Montreal : Nashville SCMost likely scores
Model1-112%0-110%1-210%0-29%2-1—0-07%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%0-28%2-17%0-0—1-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-110%0-19%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-29%0-28%2-12-1—2-17%0-00-07%0-0—1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 77%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%54% | 54% |
| 2 – Nashville SC win | 51%47% · Elo 57% | 47%· Elo 57% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 49%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 24% | 25%· Elo 24% |
| 1 – CF Montreal win | 23%28% · Elo 19% | 28%· Elo 19% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
CF Montreal attack vs Nashville SC defenceattack1438defence1624−186 pts to the attack
Nashville SC attack vs CF Montreal defenceattack1546defence1418+128 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%55%
9.549%44%
10.537%33%
11.527%25%
Each team on its own
CF Montrealwe expect 4.6, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 32%
Nashville SCwe expect 5.0, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 20.1 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.545%53%
21.537%46%
22.531%40%
23.525%35%
Each team on its own
CF Montrealwe expect 9.6, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Nashville SCwe expect 10.3, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%59%
3.544%39%
4.526%20%
5.513%11%
Each team on its own
CF Montrealwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Nashville SCwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- CF Montreal concede 2.1 goals per game
- Nashville SC score 2.4 goals per game
- Nashville SC: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- CF Montreal: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Nashville SC: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?
Nashville SC are the favourites. Chances: CF Montreal win 23%, draw 25%, Nashville SC win 51%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?
Expected goals: 2.8 (CF Montreal 1.1, Nashville SC 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?
The MLS match kicks off 24 October 2026, 18:30 (UK time).