Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%55%O2.566%57%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Seattle Sounders5:0CF MontrealW
- Seattle Sounders1:2CF MontrealL
- CF Montreal2:1Seattle SoundersL
- Seattle Sounders0:1CF MontrealL
- CF Montreal2:2Seattle SoundersD
Seattle Sounders's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.1total 3.4Attack/defence2.0 : 1.0total 3.0
Seattle Sounders : CF MontrealMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-110%2-09%1-07%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-010%1-010%3-17%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%1-01-07%1-010%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Seattle Sounders win | 64%59% · Elo 62% | 59%· Elo 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%55% | 55% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%65% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 36%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%43% | 43% |
| X – draw | 20%22% · Elo 22% | 22%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – CF Montreal win | 16%19% · Elo 16% | 19%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Seattle Sounders attack vs CF Montreal defenceattack1499defence1418+81 pts to the attack
CF Montreal attack vs Seattle Sounders defenceattack1438defence1569−131 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 9.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.564%55%
9.552%44%
10.540%33%
11.530%25%
Each team on its own
Seattle Sounderswe expect 5.7, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 50%
CF Montrealwe expect 4.5, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 72%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 28%
We expect 18.8 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.535%53%
21.528%46%
22.522%40%
23.517%35%
Each team on its own
Seattle Sounderswe expect 9.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 35%
CF Montrealwe expect 9.0, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.554%59%
3.532%39%
4.517%20%
5.57%11%
Each team on its own
Seattle Sounderswe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
CF Montrealwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- CF Montreal concede 2.1 goals per game
- Seattle Sounders matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Seattle Sounders matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Seattle Sounders: 4 wins in a row
- Seattle Sounders score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Seattle Sounders played 3 days ago
- CF Montreal: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Seattle SoundersWestern Conference | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 15 | CF MontrealEastern Conference | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
Seattle Sounders are the favourites. Chances: Seattle Sounders win 64%, draw 20%, CF Montreal win 16%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Seattle Sounders 2.3, CF Montreal 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
The chance that both teams score is 60%.
When is Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 03:30 (UK time).