New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%62%O2.567%59%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Chicago Fire1:2New England RevolutionW
- New England Revolution2:2Chicago FireD
- Chicago Fire3:2New England RevolutionL
- Chicago Fire0:1New England RevolutionW
- New England Revolution1:1Chicago FireD
New England Revolution's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.7total 3.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
New England Revolution : Chicago FireMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%1-0—2-27%0-1—3-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-26%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-15%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%59% | 59% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54%63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46%37% | 37% |
| 1 – New England Revolution win | 39%42% · Elo 36% | 42%· Elo 36% |
| 2 – Chicago Fire win | 37%34% · Elo 36% | 34%· Elo 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
New England Revolution attack vs Chicago Fire defenceattack1489defence1513−24 pts to the attack
Chicago Fire attack vs New England Revolution defenceattack1565defence1499+66 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.560%55%
9.548%44%
10.536%33%
11.526%25%
Each team on its own
New England Revolutionwe expect 5.6, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 48%
Chicago Firewe expect 4.1, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 19.5 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.540%53%
21.533%46%
22.527%40%
23.522%35%
Each team on its own
New England Revolutionwe expect 8.9, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Chicago Firewe expect 10.3, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%59%
3.546%39%
4.528%20%
5.514%11%
Each team on its own
New England Revolutionwe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Chicago Firewe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- New England Revolution: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- New England Revolution played 3 days ago
- Chicago Fire played 3 days ago
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: New England Revolution win 39%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
Expected goals: 3.5 (New England Revolution 1.8, Chicago Fire 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The chance that both teams score is 69%.
When is New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).