Orlando City vs DC United: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%63%O2.571%66%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- DC United3:2Orlando CityL
- DC United1:1Orlando CityD
- Orlando City4:1DC UnitedW
- Orlando City5:0DC UnitedW
- DC United2:3Orlando CityW
Orlando City's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.4total 3.7Attack/defence2.2 : 1.2total 3.4
Orlando City : DC UnitedMost likely scores
Market2-19%1-19%2-07%3-17%1-0—2-26%Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-08%3-17%1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-07%2-08%3-13-17%3-17%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-26%2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%85% | 85% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%79% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%63% | 63% |
| 1 – Orlando City win | 56%59% · Elo 61% | 59%· Elo 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%44% | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%37% | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 22%21% · Elo 22% | 21%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – DC United win | 22%20% · Elo 17% | 20%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Orlando City attack vs DC United defenceattack1558defence1418+140 pts to the attack
DC United attack vs Orlando City defenceattack1393defence1423−30 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.560%55%
9.548%44%
10.536%33%
11.526%25%
Each team on its own
Orlando Citywe expect 5.4, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 45%
DC Unitedwe expect 4.3, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 19.5 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.540%53%
21.533%46%
22.527%40%
23.521%35%
Each team on its own
Orlando Citywe expect 9.8, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
DC Unitedwe expect 9.5, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%59%
3.543%39%
4.525%20%
5.513%11%
Each team on its own
Orlando Citywe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
DC Unitedwe expect 2.0, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Orlando City: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Orlando City played 3 days ago
- DC United played 3 days ago
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Orlando City vs DC United?
Orlando City are the favourites. Chances: Orlando City win 56%, draw 22%, DC United win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Orlando City vs DC United?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Orlando City 2.3, DC United 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 71%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Orlando City vs DC United?
The chance that both teams score is 68%.
When is Orlando City vs DC United?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).