San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 23hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%O2.556%57%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Seattle Sounders1:1San Diego FCD
- Seattle Sounders1:0San Diego FCL
- San Diego FC3:0Seattle SoundersW
San Diego FC's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
San Diego FC : Seattle SoundersMost likely scores
Model1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-07%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%2-02-07%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%68% | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%65% | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%43% | 43% |
| 1 – San Diego FC win | 44%43% · Elo 38% | 43%· Elo 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%35% | 35% |
| 2 – Seattle Sounders win | 31%32% · Elo 34% | 32%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
San Diego FC attack vs Seattle Sounders defenceattack1545defence1569−24 pts to the attack
Seattle Sounders attack vs San Diego FC defenceattack1499defence1467+32 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 10.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.566%55%
9.554%44%
10.542%33%
11.531%25%
Each team on its own
San Diego FCwe expect 5.5, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 47%
Seattle Sounderswe expect 4.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 20.9 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.551%53%
21.544%46%
22.537%40%
23.530%35%
Each team on its own
San Diego FCwe expect 9.5, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Seattle Sounderswe expect 11.4, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%59%
3.539%39%
4.522%20%
5.511%11%
Each team on its own
San Diego FCwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Seattle Sounderswe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- San Diego FC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Seattle Sounders matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- San Diego FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Seattle Sounders matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Seattle Sounders: 4 wins in a row
- Seattle Sounders score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- San Diego FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Seattle Sounders: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders?
San Diego FC are the favourites. Chances: San Diego FC win 44%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders win 31%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders?
Expected goals: 2.9 (San Diego FC 1.6, Seattle Sounders 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders?
The MLS match kicks off 25 October 2026, 02:30 (UK time).