USL ChampionshipMatchday 132
New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs Sw.: prediction, tips and stats
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1.4:1.3Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 7h 22mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS58%55%O2.554%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Colorado Springs Sw.0:0New Mexico UnitedD
- New Mexico United1:0Colorado Springs Sw.W
- New Mexico United3:2Colorado Springs Sw.W
- Colorado Springs Sw.1:2New Mexico UnitedW
- New Mexico United1:1Colorado Springs Sw.D
New Mexico United's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.Referee
no referee dataPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
New Mexico United : Colorado Springs Sw.Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-07%1-29%0-18%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%1-28%0-19%2-19%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-29%1-28%0-10-18%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%50% | 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%45% | 45% |
| 2 – Colorado Springs Sw. win | 39%35% · Elo 26% | 35%· Elo 26% |
| 1 – New Mexico United win | 34%39% · Elo 47% | 39%· Elo 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
New Mexico United attack vs Colorado Springs Sw. defenceattack1533defence1537−4 pts to the attack
Colorado Springs Sw. attack vs New Mexico United defenceattack1543defence1453+90 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 8.0 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.568%59%
7.555%48%
8.541%32%
9.529%27%
Each team on its own
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 3.7, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 4.2, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 24.7 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.562%56%
23.556%49%
24.549%44%
25.543%38%
Each team on its own
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 13.0, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 62%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 11.9, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.572%58%
3.552%40%
4.533%19%
5.518%14%
Each team on its own
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 2.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Colorado Springs Sw.7 matches in a row under 2.5 goalsaway: 4Went on 55%League 51%Model 46%Record 10
xG tips
- Match Result: Colorado Springs Sw.Outsider with better xGxG difference +0.5, opponent −0.7From odds 39%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Colorado Springs Sw.: only 2 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Colorado Springs Sw.: unbeaten in 10 league matches
- New Mexico United: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Colorado Springs Sw.: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs Sw. | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | 47 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs Sw.?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: New Mexico United win 34%, draw 27%, Colorado Springs Sw. win 39%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs Sw.?
Expected goals: 2.8 (New Mexico United 1.3, Colorado Springs Sw. 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs Sw.?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs Sw.?
The USL Championship match kicks off 8 November 2026, 02:30 (UK time).
See also
- USL Championship: table, fixtures and results
- USL Championship stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- All matches that day
- The clubs' other match this season: New Mexico United 3-2 Colorado Springs Sw. ()
- The clubs' other match this season: New Mexico United 1-0 Colorado Springs Sw. ()
- The clubs' other match this season: Colorado Springs Sw. 0-0 New Mexico United ()
- New Mexico United: Elo rating
- Colorado Springs Sw.: Elo rating