USL ChampionshipMatchday 611
New Mexico United 2-0 Phoenix Rising: prediction, tips and result
·
2-0Full time(half time 1-0)
- Stadium:
- Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost59%
over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (49% of league matches); over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Corners: Under 9.5Lost60%
8.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.4 in the visitors', league average 9.2; under 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS62%58%O2.559%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3not both scoredH2Hlast 5 meetings
- New Mexico United2:1Phoenix RisingW
- Phoenix Rising3:0New Mexico UnitedL
- Phoenix Rising0:1New Mexico UnitedW
- New Mexico United1:2Phoenix RisingL
- New Mexico United2:1Phoenix RisingW
New Mexico United's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners
8.9league 9.2under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.3league 4.2under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 3Referee
no referee dataDutching(several bets at once)
72%O2.51:1coverageleague 60% · H2H 4/5not coveredPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.9
New Mexico United : Phoenix RisingMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-28%0-1—2-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-17%2-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%68% | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%58% | 58% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 59%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%58% | 58% |
| 1 – New Mexico United win | 42%42% · Elo 49% | 42%· Elo 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%32% | 32% |
| 2 – Phoenix Rising win | 32%33% · Elo 25% | 33%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
New Mexico United attack vs Phoenix Rising defenceattack1530defence1479+51 pts to the attack
Phoenix Rising attack vs New Mexico United defenceattack1543defence1446+97 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 8.3 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.571%59%
7.558%48%
8.545%32%
9.533%26%
Each team on its own
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Phoenix Risingwe expect 3.9, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 24.7 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.562%56%
23.556%48%
24.549%44%
25.543%38%
Each team on its own
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 11.2, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Phoenix Risingwe expect 13.7, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 69%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.553%58%
3.531%39%
4.516%18%
5.57%14%
Each team on its own
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Phoenix Risingwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Phoenix Rising: 9 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- New Mexico United: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Phoenix Rising: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | 40 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United 2-0 Phoenix Rising (half time 1-0).
Did the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.
See also
- USL Championship: table, fixtures and results
- USL Championship stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- All matches that day
- The clubs' other match this season: Phoenix Rising 3-0 New Mexico United ()
- The clubs' other match this season: New Mexico United 2-1 Phoenix Rising ()
- New Mexico United: Elo rating
- Phoenix Rising: Elo rating