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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Svrcina vs Rodionov: prediction and tips

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Dalibor SvrcinaATP #119Elo 1878hard 1871
-:-awaiting result
Jurij RodionovATP #142Elo 1803hard 1784

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.572%

Where the number comes from: market alone 76% → with the players' profiles 72%

Rodionov: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.544%

Where the number comes from: market alone 47% → with the players' profiles 44%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Svrcina 14 of 20, Rodionov 8 of 20 (tour average 42%); Svrcina: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dalibor Svrcina58%
Jurij Rodionov42%

Elo: D. Svrcina 62% · J. Rodionov 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Svrcina37%
2:1 D. Svrcina21%
2:1 J. Rodionov17%
2:0 J. Rodionov25%

First set

Dalibor Svrcina56%
Jurij Rodionov44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 6,042 matches

Games handicap

D. Svrcina −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. SvrcinaTourJ. Rodionov
Service points won59%62%64%
Return points won44%38%38%
Service games held68%76%81%
Breaks of serve37%24%24%
Aces per service game0.250.51
Double faults per game0.410.24
Sets with a tie-break15%18%
Tie-breaks won13/2315/27
Wins in straight sets61%73%
Matches in the sample6265

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dalibor Svrcina

Jurij Rodionov

Elo over the last year

Dalibor SvrcinaJurij Rodionov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. SvrcinaJ. Rodionov
Hard court21–1558%20–1263%
Clay15–1060%14–1058%
Grass0–10%6–367%

Head to head

D. Svrcina 1–0 J. Rodionov

  • 19/02/25Winner: D. Svrcina6:4 7:5

Road through the tournament

Dalibor Svrcina

Jurij Rodionov

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