Primera LPFMatchday 14
Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 11d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%49%O2.537%43%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Velez Sarsfield1:0Central CordobaL
- Central Cordoba0:2Velez SarsfieldL
- Velez Sarsfield4:0Central CordobaL
- Velez Sarsfield3:1Central CordobaL
- Central Cordoba1:2Velez SarsfieldL
Central Cordoba's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.8over 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.3total 2.2Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Central Cordoba : Velez SarsfieldMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-113%0-012%1-09%0-29%2-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%0-09%1-011%0-2—2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-113%0-110%0-00-012%0-09%1-01-09%1-011%0-20-29%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 82%78% | 78% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 74%63% | 63% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65%69% | 69% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63%57% | 57% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%51% | 51% |
| 2 – Velez Sarsfield win | 44%35% · Elo 40% | 35%· Elo 40% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37%43% | 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 31% | 28%· Elo 31% |
| 1 – Central Cordoba win | 26%37% · Elo 29% | 37%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Central Cordoba attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1464defence1513−49 pts to the attack
Velez Sarsfield attack vs Central Cordoba defenceattack1526defence1430+96 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.567%63%
7.553%52%
8.540%40%
9.528%30%
Each team on its own
Central Cordobawe expect 4.4, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Velez Sarsfieldwe expect 3.5, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 22.5 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.555%56%
22.548%50%
23.541%45%
24.535%37%
Each team on its own
Central Cordobawe expect 10.8, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Velez Sarsfieldwe expect 11.7, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.572%65%
3.552%41%
4.533%26%
5.518%14%
Each team on its own
Central Cordobawe expect 2.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Velez Sarsfieldwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Central Cordoba: no win in 8 matches
- Central Cordoba: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Velez Sarsfield: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?
Velez Sarsfield are the favourites. Chances: Central Cordoba win 26%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield win 44%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?
Expected goals: 2.2 (Central Cordoba 0.9, Velez Sarsfield 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 37%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?
The chance that both teams score is 44%.
When is Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 26 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).