Primera LPFMatchday 15
Estudiantes L.P. 3-3 Instituto: prediction, tips and result
·
3-3Full time(half time 0-1)
- Stadium:
- Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
- Referee:
- Hernan Mastrangelo
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Shots on Target – Estudiantes L.P.: Under 4.5Lost62%
Instituto's opponents had 2.2 shots on target on average, league average 4.5; our numbers for Estudiantes L.P.: 4.0 shots on target against a league average of 4.5
For the brave
Shots on Target – Estudiantes L.P.: Under 3.5Lost44%
Instituto's opponents had 2.2 shots on target on average, league average 4.5
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS41%49%O2.536%44%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0both scoredH2Hlast 5 meetings
- Instituto0:1Estudiantes L.P.W
- Estudiantes L.P.3:2InstitutoW
- Instituto0:0Estudiantes L.P.D
- Estudiantes L.P.4:1InstitutoW
- Instituto0:0Estudiantes L.P.D
Estudiantes L.P.'s record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.0league 9.1under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.7league 4.7over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 9Referee
H. Mastrangelo−0.2 yellow cards vs average20 matchesDutching(several bets at once)
71%U2.52:1coverageleague 74% · H2H 3/5not coveredPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.8total 2.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Estudiantes L.P. : InstitutoMost likely scores
Market1-015%1-113%0-013%2-011%2-18%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-113%0-09%2-09%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-012%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-013%0-09%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 59%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Estudiantes L.P. win | 50%46% · Elo 46% | 46%· Elo 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41%49% | 49% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 30% | 28%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Instituto win | 20%27% · Elo 25% | 27%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Instituto defenceattack1558defence1529+29 pts to the attack
Instituto attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1532defence1522+10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.552%53%
8.539%40%
9.527%31%
10.518%21%
Each team on its own
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 4.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Institutowe expect 3.6, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 23.2 in this match, 22.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.560%54%
22.553%49%
23.546%43%
24.539%35%
Each team on its own
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 10.7, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Institutowe expect 12.0, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 52%
Referee: 24.2 fouls per match on average (15 matches in our data)+1.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.559%65%
3.537%40%
4.520%24%
5.510%15%
Each team on its own
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Institutowe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Instituto: 23 pts in the last 10 league matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Estudiantes L.P.: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Instituto: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 | 33 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20:21 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto?
Estudiantes L.P. 3-3 Instituto (half time 0-1).
Did the Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Estudiantes L.P.: Under 4.5. The tip lost.