Primera LPFMatchday 16
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: prediction, tips and stats
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1.8:0.7Pre-match
- Referee:
- Hernan Mastrangelo
Our tips
Tip in 18h 15mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS38%41%O2.558%46%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.7H2Hlast meeting
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1:2Rosario CentralW
Rosario Central's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners
9.8league 9.2over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end over 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.Referee
H. Mastrangelo0.0 yellow cards vs average21 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 0.7total 2.5
Rosario Central : Estudiantes Rio CuartoMost likely scores
Market2-015%1-012%3-013%1-1—2-18%0-0—4-08%Attack/defence2-014%1-015%3-09%1-110%2-19%0-09%4-0—
MarketAttack/defence2-02-015%2-014%1-01-012%1-015%3-03-013%3-09%1-11-1—1-110%2-12-18%2-19%0-00-0—0-09%4-04-08%4-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 94%88% | 88% |
| 12 – no draw | 86%78% | 78% |
| 1 – Rosario Central win | 80%65% · Elo 73% | 65%· Elo 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: no | 62%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38%41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%24% | 24% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 20%35% | 35% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 14%22% · Elo 18% | 22%· Elo 18% |
| 2 – Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win | 6%13% · Elo 9% | 13%· Elo 9% |
Attack vs defence
Rosario Central attack vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto defenceattack1590defence1422+168 pts to the attack
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto attack vs Rosario Central defenceattack1352defence1581−229 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 48%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.561%53%
8.548%40%
9.536%31%
10.525%22%
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 6.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 69%
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 3.0, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 23.0 in this match, 22.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.558%54%
22.551%49%
23.544%43%
24.538%35%
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 9.8, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 12.5, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 57%
Referee: 24.4 fouls per match on average (16 matches in our data)+1.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.554%65%
3.532%39%
4.517%24%
5.57%14%
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto15 matches without a win awayoverall: 2Went on 80%League 72%Model 94%Record 26
Players
- Ibrahim HesarEstudiantes Rio Cuarto3 matches with a goal or assist2 goals, 1 assistWent on 33%Season 31%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rosario Central matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Rosario Central: 4 wins in a row in the league
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: newly promoted
- Rosario Central: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:21 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
Rosario Central are the favourites. Chances: Rosario Central win 80%, draw 14%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win 6%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Rosario Central 2.5, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
The chance that both teams score is 38%.
When is Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 7 November 2026, 20:30 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
The referee is Hernan Mastrangelo. In 21 matches in our data they showed 4.8 yellow cards a match on average.