Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 28
Atletico-MG 1-1 Chapecoense-SC: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte
- Referee:
- Raphael Claus
Our tips
Main tip
Match Result: Atletico-MGLost71%
Atletico-MG: won 7 of their last 10 league matches at home
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%51%O2.556%56%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Chapecoense-SC0:4Atletico-MGW
- Chapecoense-SC2:2Atletico-MGD
- Atletico-MG1:1Chapecoense-SCD
- Atletico-MG0:2Chapecoense-SCL
- Chapecoense-SC1:2Atletico-MGW
Atletico-MG's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.3under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.9under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeR. Claus−0.9 cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 0.7total 2.9Attack/defence2.0 : 0.9total 2.9
Atletico-MG : Chapecoense-SCMost likely scores
Market2-013%1-011%3-010%1-19%2-19%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-011%3-08%1-110%2-110%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-011%1-01-011%1-011%3-03-010%3-08%1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 89%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%79% | 79% |
| Our tip: 1 – Atletico-MG win | 71%64% · Elo 64% | 64%· Elo 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%33% | 33% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 29%36% | 36% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%21% | 21% |
| X – draw | 18%21% · Elo 21% | 21%· Elo 21% |
| 2 – Chapecoense-SC win | 11%15% · Elo 14% | 15%· Elo 14% |
Attack vs defence
Atletico-MG attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1502defence1365+137 pts to the attack
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Atletico-MG defenceattack1423defence1544−121 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chapecoense-SC concede 2.0 goals per game
- Atletico-MG matches average only 3.6 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Atletico-MG: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chapecoense-SC: newly promoted
- Atletico-MG: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Chapecoense-SC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 47 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC?
Atletico-MG 1-1 Chapecoense-SC (half time 0-1).
Did the Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Atletico-MG. The tip lost.