Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 30

Coritiba 1-1 Botafogo RJ: prediction, tips and result

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Coritiba
3-21-23-30-50-4
1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Botafogo RJ
1-20-23-21-10-0
Stadium:
Estadio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Referee:
Matheus Delgado Candancan

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Lost66%

referee Matheus Delgado Candancan averages 2.8 yellow cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 3.8 yellow cards against a league average of 4.7

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Botafogo RJ: Over 3.5Won64%

    Botafogo RJ: 5.1 shots on target a match, Coritiba's opponents had 5.8 on average, league average 3.9; over 3.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Coritiba's opponents had over 3.5 in 9 of 10 (52% of league matches)

  • Fouls: Under 22.5Lost58%

    our numbers: 21.7 fouls against a league average of 25.0; under 22.5 fouls in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (34% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Botafogo RJ: Under 1.5Won67%

    our numbers for Botafogo RJ: 1.2 offsides against a league average of 1.4

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost47%

referee Matheus Delgado Candancan averages 2.8 yellow cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 3.8 yellow cards against a league average of 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCoritiba164535%40%Draw27%29%Botafogo RJ169839%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%58%O2.558%55%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Botafogo RJ2:2CoritibaD
  2. Coritiba1:1Botafogo RJD
  3. Botafogo RJ4:1CoritibaL
  4. Botafogo RJ2:0CoritibaL
  5. Coritiba1:0Botafogo RJW
Coritiba's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.3under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 4.7under 4.5: 66%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 7
RefereeM. Delgado Candancan−2.0 yellow cards vs average12 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%X22:1coverageleague 63% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
Coritiba : Botafogo RJ
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%0-17%1-0—0-2—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-08%0-26%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-17%0-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-2—0-26%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%78%78%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals64%68%68%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes62%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals58%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals42%45%45%
2 – Botafogo RJ win39%39% · Elo 32%39%· Elo 32%
Both teams to score: no38%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals36%32%32%
1 – Coritiba win35%36% · Elo 40%36%· Elo 40%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals19%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Coritiba attack vs Botafogo RJ defenceattack1427defence1503−76 pts to the attack
Botafogo RJ attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1541defence1390+151 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.559%55%
9.547%43%
10.535%32%
11.525%26%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Coritibawe expect 5.0, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 38%
Botafogo RJwe expect 4.5, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 64%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 21.7 in this match, 25.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.535%59%
24.529%51%
25.524%45%
26.519%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Coritibawe expect 10.9, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 31%
Botafogo RJwe expect 12.0, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Referee: 23.9 fouls per match on average (25 matches in our data)−2.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.579%78%
2.556%55%
3.535%34%
4.518%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Coritibawe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Botafogo RJwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 33%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Coritiba concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Coritiba: newly promoted
  • Coritiba: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Botafogo RJ: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Coritiba

Botafogo RJ

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Coritiba301091138:4839
13Botafogo RJ30991243:4836
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Coritiba vs Botafogo RJ?

Coritiba 1-1 Botafogo RJ (half time 1-1).

Did the Coritiba vs Botafogo RJ tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.

See also