Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 30

Gremio 1-1 Internacional: prediction, tips and result

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Gremio
0-11-22-30-01-1
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Internacional
2-10-12-12-32-3
Stadium:
Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre
Referee:
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won59%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 5.5Won61%

    referee Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima averages 4.5 card points a match, league average 5.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Shots on Target – Gremio: Under 5.5Won66%

    Gremio: under 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 league matches, Internacional's opponents had under 5.5 in 8 of 10 (57% of league matches); 4.1 shots on target a match, Internacional's opponents had 3.7 on average, league average 5.3

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost32%

under 1.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGremio164033%44%Draw30%28%Internacional165337%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%54%O2.541%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Internacional0:0GremioD
  2. Internacional2:3GremioW
  3. Gremio1:1InternacionalD
  4. Internacional1:0GremioL
  5. Gremio0:1InternacionalL
Gremio's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.3under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.8league 4.7over 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 5
RefereeR. Jose Pereira de Lima−0.8 yellow cards vs average20 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X0:1coverageleague 82% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Gremio : Internacional
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%0-011%1-010%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-18%0-08%1-010%2-19%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-18%0-00-011%0-08%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%73%73%
12 – no draw70%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals68%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%71%71%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals59%51%51%
Both teams to score: no52%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes48%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals41%49%49%
2 – Internacional win37%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
1 – Gremio win33%44% · Elo 44%44%· Elo 44%
Under 1.5 goals32%26%26%
X – draw30%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals21%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Gremio attack vs Internacional defenceattack1448defence1489−41 pts to the attack
Internacional attack vs Gremio defenceattack1467defence1445+22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.554%55%
9.542%43%
10.531%33%
11.521%26%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gremiowe expect 4.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 34%
Internacionalwe expect 4.1, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 24.6 in this match, 25.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
24.549%51%
25.542%45%
26.536%40%
27.530%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gremiowe expect 12.5, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 48%
Internacionalwe expect 12.3, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Referee: 26.1 fouls per match on average (38 matches in our data)−0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.578%78%
2.556%55%
3.534%34%
4.517%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gremiowe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Internacionalwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Gremio

Internacional

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
17Internacional307111233:3832
18Gremio307101332:4031
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gremio vs Internacional?

Gremio 1-1 Internacional (half time 0-1).

Did the Gremio vs Internacional tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also