Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 27

Mirassol 2-2 Vitoria: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol
Referee:
Ramon Abatti Abel

The match in numbers

1X2EloMirassol171954%55%Draw26%25%Vitoria163320%20%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%50%O2.551%49%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Vitoria1:0MirassolL
  2. Vitoria2:0MirassolL
  3. Mirassol1:1VitoriaD
Mirassol's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.7 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 17
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.9under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 10
RefereeR. Abatti Abel−0.7 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.7 : 0.9total 2.6
Mirassol : Vitoria
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-08%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-011%1-012%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat80%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals76%74%74%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals71%73%73%
1 – Mirassol win54%55% · Elo 55%55%· Elo 55%
Both teams to score: yes53%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals51%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals49%51%51%
Both teams to score: no47%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat46%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals29%27%27%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals24%26%26%
2 – Vitoria win20%20% · Elo 20%20%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Vitoria defenceattack1506defence1462+44 pts to the attack
Vitoria attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1402defence1492−90 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Vitoria score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Mirassol: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Vitoria: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Vitoria301061433:4436
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mirassol vs Vitoria?

Mirassol 2-2 Vitoria (half time 0-2).