ChampionshipMatchday 12
Charlton vs Norwich: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 2hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%O2.551%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Charlton0:1NorwichL
- Norwich1:0CharltonL
- Charlton2:3NorwichL
- Norwich0:1CharltonW
- Charlton0:1NorwichL
Charlton's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.2 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Charlton : NorwichMost likely scores
Model1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%0-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-08%1-29%0-07%2-18%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-19%1-01-09%1-08%1-21-28%1-29%0-00-08%0-07%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Norwich win | 39%39% · Elo 42% | 39%· Elo 42% |
| 1 – Charlton win | 34%35% · Elo 30% | 35%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
Attack vs defence
Charlton attack vs Norwich defenceattack1407defence1477−70 pts to the attack
Norwich attack vs Charlton defenceattack1562defence1470+92 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.557%56%
8.544%40%
9.532%31%
10.522%20%
Each team on its own
Charltonwe expect 4.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Norwichwe expect 4.1, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 22.1 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.566%56%
20.559%46%
21.552%37%
22.545%33%
Each team on its own
Charltonwe expect 11.1, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 65%
Norwichwe expect 11.2, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 4.3 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.580%66%
3.562%50%
4.543%32%
5.527%19%
Each team on its own
Charltonwe expect 2.9, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 76%
Norwichwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Norwich concede 2.1 goals per game
- Norwich: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Charlton: no win in 7 matches
- Norwich: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Charlton: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Norwich: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 14 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Charlton vs Norwich?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Charlton win 34%, draw 28%, Norwich win 39%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Charlton vs Norwich?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Charlton 1.2, Norwich 1.3). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Charlton vs Norwich?
The Championship match kicks off 24 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).