ChampionshipMatchday 10

Stoke 2-3 Middlesbrough: prediction, tips and result

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Stoke
4-01-12-12-12-1
2-3Full time(half time 0-0)
Middlesbrough
1-02-22-24-31-0

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon58%

goals at both ends in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (57% of league matches); Stoke: scored in each of their last 9 league matches

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Middlesbrough: Over 3.5Won61%

    Middlesbrough: 5.2 shots on target a match, Stoke's opponents had 5.0 on average, league average 3.6; our numbers for Middlesbrough: 4.3 shots on target against a league average of 3.6

  • Offsides – Stoke: Over 1.5Lost62%

    our numbers for Stoke: 2.1 offsides against a league average of 1.9

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStoke153224%27%Draw25%27%Middlesbrough167150%46%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%54%O2.554%50%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Stoke1:2MiddlesbroughL
  2. Middlesbrough0:0StokeD
  3. Stoke1:3MiddlesbroughL
  4. Middlesbrough2:0StokeL
  5. Stoke2:0MiddlesbroughW
Stoke's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)69%O2.51:1coverageleague 63% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.7total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.7
Stoke : Middlesbrough
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-29%1-0—2-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-29%0-110%0-27%1-08%2-18%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-110%0-20-29%0-27%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-1—2-18%0-00-07%0-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat75%69%69%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals68%72%72%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes56%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals54%50%50%
2 – Middlesbrough win50%42% · Elo 46%42%· Elo 46%
1X – home team avoid defeat49%58%58%
Under 2.5 goals46%50%50%
Both teams to score: no44%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals32%28%28%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
1 – Stoke win24%31% · Elo 27%31%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals22%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Stoke attack vs Middlesbrough defenceattack1454defence1558−104 pts to the attack
Middlesbrough attack vs Stoke defenceattack1592defence1473+119 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.560%56%
8.546%40%
9.534%30%
10.524%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Stokewe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Middlesbroughwe expect 4.3, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 20.9 in this match, 20.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.558%56%
20.550%46%
21.543%36%
22.536%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Stokewe expect 10.7, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 61%
Middlesbroughwe expect 10.1, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.576%66%
3.557%49%
4.538%31%
5.522%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Stokewe expect 2.1, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Middlesbroughwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stoke played 3 days ago
  • Middlesbrough played 3 days ago

League form

Stoke

Middlesbrough

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Middlesbrough1063120:1421
6Stoke1051417:1616
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stoke vs Middlesbrough?

Stoke 2-3 Middlesbrough (half time 0-0).

Did the Stoke vs Middlesbrough tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.

See also