League TwoMatchday 13
Crawley Town vs Tranmere: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.550%47%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Tranmere2:0Crawley TownL
- Crawley Town0:2TranmereL
- Tranmere1:3Crawley TownW
- Crawley Town3:2TranmereW
- Crawley Town2:1TranmereW
Crawley Town's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.7over 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Crawley Town : TranmereMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-010%2-19%0-18%0-0—2-0—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-19%0-08%2-08%1-2—
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-18%0-19%0-00-0—0-08%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-27%1-2—
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Crawley Town win | 43%43% · Elo 42% | 43%· Elo 42% |
| 2 – Tranmere win | 31%30% · Elo 30% | 30%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
Crawley Town attack vs Tranmere defenceattack1429defence1393+36 pts to the attack
Tranmere attack vs Crawley Town defenceattack1460defence1446+14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.561%61%
7.547%45%
8.534%27%
9.523%17%
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 4.1, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Tranmerewe expect 3.5, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 21.4 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.561%61%
20.554%57%
21.547%51%
22.540%45%
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 9.8, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Tranmerewe expect 11.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.570%58%
3.549%41%
4.530%28%
5.517%11%
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Tranmerewe expect 2.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Crawley Town matches average 5.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Tranmere concede a lot late on: 11 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Crawley Town: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Tranmere: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
Crawley Town are the favourites. Chances: Crawley Town win 43%, draw 26%, Tranmere win 31%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Crawley Town 1.5, Tranmere 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
The League Two match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).