League TwoMatchday 10
Swindon 0-1 Crewe: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- County Ground, Swindon
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost59%
12.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.1 in the visitors', league average 9.9
Other tips
- Both Teams To Score: YesLost59%
Crewe: scored in each of their last 6 league matches
For the brave
Corners: Over 11.5Lost36%
over 11.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (30% of league matches); 12.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.1 in the visitors', league average 9.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%52%O2.555%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Swindon1:2CreweL
- Crewe0:3SwindonW
- Swindon0:0CreweD
- Crewe0:0SwindonD
- Crewe2:1SwindonL
Swindon's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 9.9over 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)72%X22:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 4/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.5
Swindon : CreweMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-07%0-17%2-18%0-0—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-19%2-19%0-08%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-07%1-010%0-10-17%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%0-00-0—0-08%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Crewe win | 37%32% · Elo 34% | 32%· Elo 34% |
| 1 – Swindon win | 36%40% · Elo 39% | 40%· Elo 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
Swindon attack vs Crewe defenceattack1526defence1520+6 pts to the attack
Crewe attack vs Swindon defenceattack1500defence1474+26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.560%61%
7.546%45%
8.533%26%
9.522%18%
Each team on its own
Swindonwe expect 4.3, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Crewewe expect 3.1, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 19.0 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.544%61%
20.537%57%
21.530%50%
22.524%44%
Each team on its own
Swindonwe expect 9.9, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Crewewe expect 9.0, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.573%58%
3.554%42%
4.534%29%
5.520%12%
Each team on its own
Swindonwe expect 1.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Crewewe expect 2.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 74%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Crewe: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Swindon matches average 12.4 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Crewe: unbeaten in 10 matches
- Swindon score a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Swindon: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Crewe: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 18 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Swindon vs Crewe?
Swindon 0-1 Crewe (half time 0-0).
Did the Swindon vs Crewe tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.