Premier LeagueMatchday 8
Man United vs Bournemouth: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%59%O2.566%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bournemouth2:2Man UnitedD
- Man United4:4BournemouthD
- Bournemouth1:1Man UnitedD
- Man United0:3BournemouthL
- Bournemouth2:2Man UnitedD
Man United's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.4total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Man United : BournemouthMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-0—2-07%1-2—2-26%3-16%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%2-2—3-1—0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-2—1-27%2-22-26%2-2—3-13-16%3-1—0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%65% | 65% |
| 1 – Man United win | 52%49% · Elo 48% | 49%· Elo 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Bournemouth win | 25%27% · Elo 25% | 27%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Man United attack vs Bournemouth defenceattack1571defence1496+75 pts to the attack
Bournemouth attack vs Man United defenceattack1510defence1528−18 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.558%57%
8.545%45%
9.533%32%
10.523%21%
Each team on its own
Man Unitedwe expect 4.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Bournemouthwe expect 3.9, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 21.1 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.552%52%
21.545%46%
22.538%36%
23.531%30%
Each team on its own
Man Unitedwe expect 10.2, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Bournemouthwe expect 10.9, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%63%
3.539%43%
4.521%23%
5.510%13%
Each team on its own
Man Unitedwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Bournemouthwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bournemouth: no win in 8 matches
- Man United: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Bournemouth: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Man United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Man United vs Bournemouth?
Man United are the favourites. Chances: Man United win 52%, draw 23%, Bournemouth win 25%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Man United vs Bournemouth?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Man United 2.0, Bournemouth 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Man United vs Bournemouth?
The chance that both teams score is 65%.
When is Man United vs Bournemouth?
The Premier League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).