BundesligaMatchday 5
Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
- Referee:
- Christian Dingert
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Match Result: DortmundLost72%
Dortmund: 4 league wins in a row
Other tips
- Offsides – Dortmund: Under 1.5Lost62%
our numbers for Dortmund: 1.3 offsides against a league average of 1.9
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%56%O2.566%61%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Werder Bremen0:2DortmundW
- Dortmund3:0Werder BremenW
- Dortmund2:2Werder BremenD
- Werder Bremen0:0DortmundD
- Werder Bremen1:2DortmundW
Dortmund's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.8under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeC. Dingert−0.2 yellow cards vs average19 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%BTTS yes2:0coverageleague 65% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence2.1 : 1.0total 3.1
Dortmund : Werder BremenMost likely scores
Market2-011%2-19%1-18%3-09%1-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%2-110%1-110%3-07%1-09%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%1-11-18%1-110%3-03-09%3-07%1-01-08%1-09%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 89%83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 84%79% | 79% |
| Our tip: 1 – Dortmund win | 73%63% · Elo 72% | 63%· Elo 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%38% | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%39% | 39% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 27%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 16%21% · Elo 17% | 21%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%18% | 18% |
| 2 – Werder Bremen win | 11%17% · Elo 11% | 17%· Elo 11% |
Attack vs defence
Dortmund attack vs Werder Bremen defenceattack1598defence1491+107 pts to the attack
Werder Bremen attack vs Dortmund defenceattack1446defence1621−175 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%60%
9.548%47%
10.537%35%
11.526%27%
Each team on its own
Dortmundwe expect 5.9, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 53%
Werder Bremenwe expect 3.8, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 19.7 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.557%60%
19.549%54%
20.542%46%
21.535%39%
Each team on its own
Dortmundwe expect 9.4, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 47%
Werder Bremenwe expect 10.4, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Referee: 21.4 fouls per match on average (16 matches in our data)−0.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%66%
3.545%46%
4.527%29%
5.514%15%
Each team on its own
Dortmundwe expect 1.3, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Werder Bremenwe expect 2.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Dortmund matches average only 7.6 corners (league 9.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Dortmund: 6 wins in a row
- Dortmund: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Werder Bremen: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen (half time 0-0).
Did the Dortmund vs Werder Bremen tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Dortmund. The tip lost.