BundesligaMatchday 7
Stuttgart vs M'gladbach: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%65%O2.576%68%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- M'gladbach0:3StuttgartW
- Stuttgart1:0M'gladbachW
- Stuttgart1:2M'gladbachL
- M'gladbach1:3StuttgartW
- Stuttgart4:0M'gladbachW
Stuttgart's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.9over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 1.2total 3.9Attack/defence2.3 : 1.3total 3.5
Stuttgart : M'gladbachMost likely scores
Market2-19%1-17%3-18%2-07%3-07%1-0—2-2—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%3-17%2-08%3-0—1-06%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-17%1-19%3-13-18%3-17%2-02-07%2-08%3-03-07%3-0—1-01-0—1-06%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%87% | 87% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 85%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 84%80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76%68% | 68% |
| 1 – Stuttgart win | 69%60% · Elo 62% | 60%· Elo 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%65% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56%47% | 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%36% | 36% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 31%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 16%20% · Elo 22% | 20%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – M'gladbach win | 15%20% · Elo 16% | 20%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
Stuttgart attack vs M'gladbach defenceattack1584defence1446+138 pts to the attack
M'gladbach attack vs Stuttgart defenceattack1458defence1515−57 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 10.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.570%61%
9.559%48%
10.547%36%
11.536%28%
Each team on its own
Stuttgartwe expect 6.6, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 63%
M'gladbachwe expect 4.5, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 20.0 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.559%59%
19.551%53%
20.544%46%
21.537%39%
Each team on its own
Stuttgartwe expect 9.6, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 48%
M'gladbachwe expect 10.4, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 58%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%66%
3.545%46%
4.527%30%
5.514%16%
Each team on its own
Stuttgartwe expect 1.5, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
M'gladbachwe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- M'gladbach concede 2.2 goals per game
- Stuttgart concede 2.0 goals per game
- M'gladbach matches average 5.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Stuttgart matches average 12.6 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- M'gladbach: 5 defeats in a row
- Stuttgart: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- M'gladbach: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stuttgart vs M'gladbach?
Stuttgart are the favourites. Chances: Stuttgart win 69%, draw 16%, M'gladbach win 15%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Stuttgart vs M'gladbach?
Expected goals: 3.9 (Stuttgart 2.7, M'gladbach 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 76%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Stuttgart vs M'gladbach?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is Stuttgart vs M'gladbach?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 23 October 2026, 19:30 (UK time).