UEFA Conference LeagueMatchday 2
Ajax vs Atalanta: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 8d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceno forecast
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Ajax0:1AtalantaL
- Atalanta2:2AjaxD
Ajax's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model2.4 : 1.3total 3.7
Ajax : AtalantaMost likely scores
Model2-19%1-18%3-17%2-07%2-26%
Model2-12-19%1-11-18%3-13-17%2-02-07%2-22-26%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80% |
| 1 – Ajax win | 61% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 39% |
| 2 – Atalanta win | 20% |
| X – draw | 19% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ajax: newly promoted
- Atalanta: newly promoted
- Ajax: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Atalanta: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ajax vs Atalanta?
Ajax are the favourites. Chances: Ajax win 61%, draw 19%, Atalanta win 20%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Ajax vs Atalanta?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Ajax 2.4, Atalanta 1.3). Most likely score: 2-1.
When is Ajax vs Atalanta?
The UEFA Conference League match kicks off 22 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).