UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 3
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 8d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model2.7 : 1.1total 3.8
Lech Poznan : SunderlandMost likely scores
Model2-19%3-18%2-08%3-07%1-06%
Model2-12-19%3-13-18%2-02-08%3-03-07%1-01-06%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 85% |
| 1 – Lech Poznan win | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 29% |
| X – draw | 15% |
| 2 – Sunderland win | 14% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sunderland: newly promoted
- Lech Poznan: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sunderland: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Lech Poznan are the favourites. Chances: Lech Poznan win 71%, draw 15%, Sunderland win 14%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Expected goals: 3.8 (Lech Poznan 2.7, Sunderland 1.1). Most likely score: 2-1.
When is Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
The UEFA Europa League match kicks off 22 October 2026, 17:45 (UK time).