Serie AMatchday 7
Bologna vs Inter: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%61%O2.559%61%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bologna3:3InterD
- Inter3:1BolognaL
- Bologna1:0InterW
- Inter2:2BolognaD
- Bologna0:1InterL
Bologna's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.9over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.9total 3.1
Bologna : InterMost likely scores
Market1-110%0-210%1-210%0-19%0-37%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%0-28%1-210%0-18%0-3—2-16%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%0-20-210%0-28%1-21-210%1-210%0-10-19%0-18%0-30-37%0-3—2-12-1—2-16%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 83%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Inter win | 61%52% · Elo 55% | 52%· Elo 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%39% | 39% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 39%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%39% | 39% |
| X – draw | 22%23% · Elo 26% | 23%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%18% | 18% |
| 1 – Bologna win | 17%25% · Elo 19% | 25%· Elo 19% |
Attack vs defence
Bologna attack vs Inter defenceattack1507defence1595−88 pts to the attack
Inter attack vs Bologna defenceattack1755defence1530+225 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%57%
8.543%41%
9.531%28%
10.521%19%
Each team on its own
Bolognawe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Interwe expect 4.1, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 20.9 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.537%51%
23.530%45%
24.525%37%
25.520%33%
Each team on its own
Bolognawe expect 10.4, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Interwe expect 10.2, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.574%62%
3.554%41%
4.535%28%
5.520%15%
Each team on its own
Bolognawe expect 2.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Interwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Inter16 matches unbeatenaway: 7Went on 79%League 53%Model 83%Record 49
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Inter score 2.7 goals per game
- Inter: unbeaten in 16 matches
- Bologna: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Inter: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bologna vs Inter?
Inter are the favourites. Chances: Bologna win 17%, draw 22%, Inter win 61%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Bologna vs Inter?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Bologna 1.0, Inter 2.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Inter?
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
When is Bologna vs Inter?
The Serie A match kicks off 17 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).