Serie AMatchday 6

Lecce 1-2 Bologna: prediction, tips and result

·

Lecce
2-00-40-13-20-3
1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Bologna
1-10-12-20-10-1
Stadium:
Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare, Lecce
Referee:
Luca J. Pairetto

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Bologna (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won72%

Bologna: 1.6 card points a match, Lecce's opponents collected 0.6 card points on average, league average 2.1; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Offsides – Bologna: Over 1.5Won74%

    Bologna: 2.2 offsides a match, Lecce's opponents were caught offside 4.8 times on average, league average 1.7; our numbers for Bologna: 2.8 offsides against a league average of 1.7

  • Shots on Target – Bologna: Over 3.5Won58%

    Lecce's opponents had 7.6 shots on target on average, league average 3.6

For the brave
Cards – Bologna (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Lost46%

Bologna: under 1.5 card points in 3 of their last 5 league matches, Lecce's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 5 of 5 (39% of league matches); 1.6 card points a match, Lecce's opponents collected 0.6 card points on average, league average 2.1; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLecce169324%26%Draw29%29%Bologna183947%45%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%49%O2.543%44%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bologna2:0LecceL
  2. Lecce2:2BolognaD
  3. Lecce0:0BolognaD
  4. Bologna1:0LecceL
  5. Bologna4:0LecceL
Lecce's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 5
RefereeL. J. Pairetto+0.6 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)65%U2.51:2coverageleague 60% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.4total 2.4Attack/defence1.0 : 1.4total 2.4
Lecce : Bologna
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-112%0-010%0-29%1-29%1-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-112%0-09%0-29%1-29%1-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-112%0-112%0-00-010%0-09%0-20-29%0-29%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-09%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%72%72%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals70%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals57%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat53%55%55%
Both teams to score: no52%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes48%49%49%
2 – Bologna win47%45% · Elo 45%45%· Elo 45%
Over 2.5 goals43%44%44%
Under 1.5 goals30%30%30%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 29%28%· Elo 29%
1 – Lecce win24%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals22%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Lecce attack vs Bologna defenceattack1342defence1534−192 pts to the attack
Bologna attack vs Lecce defenceattack1508defence1449+59 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.556%57%
8.542%40%
9.530%27%
10.521%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Leccewe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Bolognawe expect 4.1, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 22.8 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.550%52%
23.543%46%
24.536%38%
25.530%34%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Leccewe expect 11.9, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Bolognawe expect 11.3, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Referee: 22.2 fouls per match on average (14 matches in our data)−0.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 4.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.581%62%
3.564%41%
4.545%28%
5.529%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Leccewe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Bolognawe expect 2.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 74%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lecce: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lecce: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bologna: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Lecce

Bologna

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Lecce62046:126
14Bologna61235:75
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lecce vs Bologna?

Lecce 1-2 Bologna (half time 0-1).

Did the Lecce vs Bologna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Bologna (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also