Serie AMatchday 8
Lecce vs Juventus: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%48%O2.551%47%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lecce0:1JuventusL
- Juventus1:1LecceD
- Juventus2:1LecceL
- Lecce1:1JuventusD
- Lecce0:3JuventusL
Lecce's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 8.9over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.7 : 2.0total 2.7Attack/defence0.9 : 1.6total 2.5
Lecce : JuventusMost likely scores
Market0-214%0-113%1-110%1-29%0-39%0-0—1-0—Attack/defence0-211%0-113%1-112%1-210%0-3—0-08%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence0-20-214%0-211%0-10-113%0-113%1-11-110%1-112%1-21-29%1-210%0-30-39%0-3—0-00-0—0-08%1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 89%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%75% | 75% |
| 2 – Juventus win | 69%54% · Elo 60% | 54%· Elo 60% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%48% | 48% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 32%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%25% | 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 20%25% · Elo 24% | 25%· Elo 24% |
| 1 – Lecce win | 12%21% · Elo 16% | 21%· Elo 16% |
Attack vs defence
Lecce attack vs Juventus defenceattack1345defence1612−267 pts to the attack
Juventus attack vs Lecce defenceattack1597defence1449+148 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 9.1 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.568%57%
8.556%41%
9.543%28%
10.532%19%
Each team on its own
Leccewe expect 3.9, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Juventuswe expect 5.7, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 79%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 22.1 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.545%51%
23.538%45%
24.532%37%
25.526%33%
Each team on its own
Leccewe expect 11.1, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Juventuswe expect 11.0, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 70%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 30%over
We expect 4.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.585%62%
3.570%41%
4.552%28%
5.535%15%
Each team on its own
Leccewe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Juventuswe expect 3.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 83%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Juventus: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Juventus matches average 11.0 corners (league 8.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Juventus: only 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 22 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lecce: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Juventus: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
Juventus are the favourites. Chances: Lecce win 12%, draw 20%, Juventus win 69%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs Juventus?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Lecce 0.7, Juventus 2.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 0-2.
Will both teams score in Lecce vs Juventus?
The chance that both teams score is 43%.
When is Lecce vs Juventus?
The Serie A match kicks off 25 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).