Serie AMatchday 7
Udinese vs Lecce: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.547%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lecce2:1UdineseL
- Udinese3:2LecceW
- Lecce0:1UdineseW
- Udinese1:0LecceW
- Lecce0:2UdineseW
Udinese's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.9over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Udinese : LecceMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-19%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-011%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-09%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Udinese win | 51%49% · Elo 48% | 49%· Elo 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%48% | 48% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%27% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%26% | 26% |
| 2 – Lecce win | 22%25% · Elo 24% | 25%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Udinese attack vs Lecce defenceattack1478defence1449+29 pts to the attack
Lecce attack vs Udinese defenceattack1345defence1449−104 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%57%
8.550%41%
9.538%28%
10.527%19%
Each team on its own
Udinesewe expect 5.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 62%
Leccewe expect 3.8, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.537%51%
23.531%45%
24.525%37%
25.520%33%
Each team on its own
Udinesewe expect 10.2, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Leccewe expect 10.5, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 4.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.581%62%
3.564%41%
4.545%28%
5.529%15%
Each team on its own
Udinesewe expect 2.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 70%
Leccewe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 60%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Udinese: 4 defeats in a row
- Udinese: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Lecce: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
Udinese are the favourites. Chances: Udinese win 51%, draw 27%, Lecce win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Lecce?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Udinese 1.6, Lecce 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Udinese vs Lecce?
The chance that both teams score is 50%.
When is Udinese vs Lecce?
The Serie A match kicks off 18 October 2026, 11:30 (UK time).