Serie AMatchday 9
Torino vs Como: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 13d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.547%53%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Como6:0TorinoL
- Torino1:5ComoL
- Como1:0TorinoL
- Torino1:0ComoW
- Como1:0TorinoL
Torino's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.9over 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.0 : 1.6total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.6total 2.8
Torino : ComoMost likely scores
Model1-112%0-112%0-210%1-210%0-08%2-1—1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-110%0-28%1-29%0-0—2-17%1-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-112%0-110%0-20-210%0-28%1-21-210%1-29%0-00-08%0-0—2-12-1—2-17%1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 78%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%77% | 77% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%47% | 47% |
| 2 – Como win | 52%47% · Elo 50% | 47%· Elo 50% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 48%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%53% | 53% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%23% | 23% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%31% | 31% |
| 1 – Torino win | 22%27% · Elo 23% | 27%· Elo 23% |
Attack vs defence
Torino attack vs Como defenceattack1460defence1584−124 pts to the attack
Como attack vs Torino defenceattack1601defence1459+142 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.557%57%
8.544%41%
9.532%28%
10.522%19%
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 3.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 27%
Comowe expect 4.7, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 67%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 21.2 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.539%51%
23.532%45%
24.526%37%
25.521%33%
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 10.6, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 37%
Comowe expect 10.4, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%62%
3.545%41%
4.527%28%
5.514%15%
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 2.0, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Comowe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Torino matches average only 2.4 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Como matches average 10.9 corners (league 8.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Como played 3 days ago
- Torino: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Torino vs Como?
Como are the favourites. Chances: Torino win 22%, draw 26%, Como win 52%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Como?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Torino 1.0, Como 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Torino vs Como?
The Serie A match kicks off 27 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).