Serie AMatchday 8
Torino vs Monza: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%55%O2.547%53%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Monza0:2TorinoW
- Torino1:1MonzaD
- Torino1:0MonzaW
- Monza1:1TorinoD
- Torino1:1MonzaD
Torino's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.9over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Torino : MonzaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-09%2-08%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%0-0—2-08%0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%0-00-09%0-0—2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Torino win | 45%49% · Elo 49% | 49%· Elo 49% |
| X – draw | 28%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Monza win | 27%26% · Elo 23% | 26%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%23% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%31% | 31% |
Attack vs defence
Torino attack vs Monza defenceattack1460defence1396+64 pts to the attack
Monza attack vs Torino defenceattack1406defence1459−53 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%57%
8.551%41%
9.539%28%
10.528%19%
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 4.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Monzawe expect 4.6, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 66%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 21.7 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.542%51%
23.535%45%
24.529%37%
25.524%33%
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 10.0, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 31%
Monzawe expect 11.6, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%62%
3.542%41%
4.524%28%
5.512%15%
Each team on its own
Torinowe expect 1.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Monzawe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Torino matches average only 2.4 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Monza: newly promoted
- Torino: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Monza: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
Torino are the favourites. Chances: Torino win 45%, draw 28%, Monza win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Monza?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Torino 1.5, Monza 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Torino vs Monza?
The chance that both teams score is 52%.
When is Torino vs Monza?
The Serie A match kicks off 23 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).