EredivisieMatchday 6
Excelsior 1-2 Utrecht: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
- Referee:
- Sander van der Eijk
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won62%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (64% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%61%O2.562%59%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Excelsior5:0UtrechtW
- Utrecht4:1ExcelsiorL
- Excelsior1:1UtrechtD
- Utrecht2:2ExcelsiorD
- Utrecht1:0ExcelsiorL
Excelsior's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.2under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. van der Eijk+0.5 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Excelsior : UtrechtMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%1-06%2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-26%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-07%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%61% | 61% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 62%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Excelsior win | 43%41% · Elo 31% | 41%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%39% | 39% |
| 2 – Utrecht win | 32%34% · Elo 40% | 34%· Elo 40% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Excelsior attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1452defence1502−50 pts to the attack
Utrecht attack vs Excelsior defenceattack1523defence1497+26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Utrecht concede 2.1 goals per game
- Excelsior score 2.6 goals per game
- Excelsior: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Excelsior: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Excelsior: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Utrecht: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:25 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Excelsior vs Utrecht?
Excelsior 1-2 Utrecht (half time 0-1).
Did the Excelsior vs Utrecht tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.