EredivisieMatchday 10
For Sittard vs Excelsior: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%59%O2.563%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- For Sittard2:1ExcelsiorW
- Excelsior1:0For SittardL
- For Sittard5:2ExcelsiorW
- Excelsior2:2For SittardD
- Excelsior3:0For SittardL
For Sittard's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.4under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.0under 3.5: 66%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.7total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
For Sittard : ExcelsiorMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-29%1-0—2-27%2-0—0-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%0-10-16%0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%69% | 69% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59%66% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Excelsior win | 40%31% · Elo 28% | 31%· Elo 28% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%44% | 44% |
| 1 – For Sittard win | 36%44% · Elo 43% | 44%· Elo 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
For Sittard attack vs Excelsior defenceattack1434defence1469−35 pts to the attack
Excelsior attack vs For Sittard defenceattack1446defence1464−18 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.549%51%
10.538%41%
11.527%33%
12.519%21%
Each team on its own
For Sittardwe expect 4.9, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 37%
Excelsiorwe expect 4.5, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 18.4 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.547%59%
19.540%50%
20.532%43%
21.526%37%
Each team on its own
For Sittardwe expect 7.4, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 22%
Excelsiorwe expect 11.0, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 2.3 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.567%71%
2.541%48%
3.521%29%
4.59%14%
Each team on its own
For Sittardwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Excelsiorwe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 24%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Excelsior: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- For Sittard: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- For Sittard: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Excelsior: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | For Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win For Sittard vs Excelsior?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: For Sittard win 36%, draw 25%, Excelsior win 40%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in For Sittard vs Excelsior?
Expected goals: 3.3 (For Sittard 1.6, Excelsior 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in For Sittard vs Excelsior?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is For Sittard vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 25 October 2026, 11:15 (UK time).