EredivisieMatchday 10
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%67%O2.572%69%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- PSV Eindhoven3:0FeyenoordW
- Feyenoord2:3PSV EindhovenW
- Feyenoord2:3PSV EindhovenW
- PSV Eindhoven3:0FeyenoordW
- PSV Eindhoven2:2FeyenoordD
PSV Eindhoven's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.0under 3.5: 68%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.5total 3.7Attack/defence2.1 : 1.5total 3.6
PSV Eindhoven : FeyenoordMost likely scores
Market2-19%1-19%2-27%3-16%1-26%2-0—Attack/defence2-19%1-19%2-27%3-16%1-26%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-19%1-11-19%1-19%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-16%3-16%1-21-26%1-26%2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%87% | 87% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%74% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71%67% | 67% |
| 1 – PSV Eindhoven win | 52%52% · Elo 59% | 52%· Elo 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 29%33% | 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%31% | 31% |
| 2 – Feyenoord win | 26%26% · Elo 17% | 26%· Elo 17% |
| X – draw | 22%22% · Elo 24% | 22%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Feyenoord defenceattack1738defence1628+110 pts to the attack
Feyenoord attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1653defence1618+35 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.554%51%
10.542%41%
11.531%33%
12.522%21%
Each team on its own
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 4.9, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 36%
Feyenoordwe expect 5.1, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 17.9 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.543%59%
19.536%50%
20.529%43%
21.523%37%
Each team on its own
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 9.0, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 42%
Feyenoordwe expect 8.6, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 26%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.570%71%
2.544%48%
3.523%29%
4.511%14%
Each team on its own
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Feyenoordwe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- PSV Eindhoven score 3.5 goals per game
- Feyenoord score 3.0 goals per game
- Feyenoord matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- PSV Eindhoven: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Feyenoord: 4 wins in a row
- PSV Eindhoven: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Feyenoord: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
PSV Eindhoven are the favourites. Chances: PSV Eindhoven win 52%, draw 22%, Feyenoord win 26%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
Expected goals: 3.7 (PSV Eindhoven 2.2, Feyenoord 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 72%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
The chance that both teams score is 71%.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 25 October 2026, 13:30 (UK time).