EredivisieMatchday 10
Utrecht vs Zwolle: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%60%O2.567%64%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Utrecht1:1ZwolleD
- Zwolle0:2UtrechtW
- Zwolle3:3UtrechtD
- Utrecht1:0ZwolleW
- Utrecht5:1ZwolleW
Utrecht's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.0under 3.5: 68%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.2total 3.5Attack/defence2.2 : 1.1total 3.3
Utrecht : ZwolleMost likely scores
Market2-110%1-19%2-08%1-07%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-08%2-09%1-01-07%1-08%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%84% | 84% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%64% | 64% |
| 1 – Utrecht win | 62%61% · Elo 60% | 61%· Elo 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%42% | 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 38%39% | 39% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 20%21% · Elo 24% | 21%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – Zwolle win | 18%19% · Elo 17% | 19%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Utrecht attack vs Zwolle defenceattack1518defence1390+128 pts to the attack
Zwolle attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1386defence1490−104 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.553%51%
10.541%41%
11.531%33%
12.522%21%
Each team on its own
Utrechtwe expect 5.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 49%
Zwollewe expect 4.3, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 20.3 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.561%59%
19.553%50%
20.546%43%
21.539%37%
Each team on its own
Utrechtwe expect 10.2, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 55%
Zwollewe expect 10.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.560%71%
2.534%48%
3.515%29%
4.56%14%
Each team on its own
Utrechtwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 29%
Zwollewe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 22%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Utrecht concede 2.7 goals per game
- Zwolle concede 2.6 goals per game
- Utrecht: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Utrecht: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Zwolle: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Utrecht vs Zwolle?
Utrecht are the favourites. Chances: Utrecht win 62%, draw 20%, Zwolle win 18%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs Zwolle?
Expected goals: 3.5 (Utrecht 2.3, Zwolle 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Utrecht vs Zwolle?
The chance that both teams score is 62%.
When is Utrecht vs Zwolle?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:30 (UK time).