EredivisieMatchday 9
Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%65%O2.566%64%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.7
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Go Ahead Eagles5:0ZwolleL
- Zwolle0:2Go Ahead EaglesL
- Zwolle1:1Go Ahead EaglesD
- Go Ahead Eagles2:2ZwolleD
- Go Ahead Eagles1:1ZwolleD
Zwolle's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.4over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.8league 3.0under 3.5: 70%Expected yellow cards: 2.8 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 2.0total 3.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.7total 3.3
Zwolle : Go Ahead EaglesMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-17%2-27%0-1—0-26%Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-16%0-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-16%0-20-26%0-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%58% | 58% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 52%58% | 58% |
| 2 – Go Ahead Eagles win | 48%42% · Elo 40% | 42%· Elo 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%42% | 42% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%36% | 36% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%35% | 35% |
| 1 – Zwolle win | 28%35% · Elo 31% | 35%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 29% | 24%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Zwolle attack vs Go Ahead Eagles defenceattack1386defence1441−55 pts to the attack
Go Ahead Eagles attack vs Zwolle defenceattack1523defence1390+133 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.554%51%
10.542%41%
11.532%33%
12.522%21%
Each team on its own
Zwollewe expect 4.8, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 36%
Go Ahead Eagleswe expect 5.2, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 17.7 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.541%59%
19.534%50%
20.527%43%
21.521%37%
Each team on its own
Zwollewe expect 9.0, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 42%
Go Ahead Eagleswe expect 8.3, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 23%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.561%71%
2.534%48%
3.516%29%
4.56%14%
Each team on its own
Zwollewe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 28%
Go Ahead Eagleswe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 23%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Go Ahead Eagles11 matches in a row with BTTSaway: 6Went on 56%League 69%Model 66%Record 17
- Go Ahead Eagles4 draws in a rowaway: 2Went on 28%League 29%Model 24%Record 7
- Zwolle5 defeats in a row at homeoverall: 3Went on 52%League 40%Model 48%Record 13
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Zwolle concede 2.6 goals per game
- Go Ahead Eagles concede 2.3 goals per game
- Go Ahead Eagles matches average only 1.6 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Go Ahead Eagles: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Zwolle: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Go Ahead Eagles: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Go Ahead Eagles are the favourites. Chances: Zwolle win 28%, draw 24%, Go Ahead Eagles win 48%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Expected goals: 3.5 (Zwolle 1.5, Go Ahead Eagles 2.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 18 October 2026, 11:15 (UK time).