EredivisieMatchday 10
Willem II vs Cambuur: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%59%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Willem II0:1CambuurL
- Cambuur2:2Willem IID
- Willem II1:1CambuurD
- Cambuur1:0Willem IIL
- Cambuur1:1Willem IID
Willem II's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.0under 3.5: 66%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Willem II : CambuurMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-06%1-28%2-27%0-1—2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-2—0-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-06%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%33% | 33% |
| 1 – Willem II win | 38%43% · Elo 41% | 43%· Elo 41% |
| 2 – Cambuur win | 36%32% · Elo 30% | 32%· Elo 30% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Willem II attack vs Cambuur defenceattack1374defence1420−46 pts to the attack
Cambuur attack vs Willem II defenceattack1397defence1407−10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.550%51%
10.538%41%
11.527%33%
12.519%21%
Each team on its own
Willem IIwe expect 4.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 34%
Cambuurwe expect 4.7, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 20.6 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.564%59%
19.556%50%
20.549%43%
21.542%37%
Each team on its own
Willem IIwe expect 11.1, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 65%
Cambuurwe expect 9.6, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%71%
2.556%48%
3.534%29%
4.518%14%
Each team on its own
Willem IIwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Cambuurwe expect 1.5, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Willem II concede 2.6 goals per game
- Willem II: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Willem II: no win in 8 matches
- Cambuur: newly promoted
- Willem II: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Cambuur: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Willem II win 38%, draw 26%, Cambuur win 36%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Cambuur?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Willem II 1.6, Cambuur 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Willem II vs Cambuur?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is Willem II vs Cambuur?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 24 October 2026, 17:45 (UK time).