Liga Portugal 2Matchday 8
Felgueiras vs Lourosa: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%49%O2.540%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Lourosa2:1FelgueirasL
- Felgueiras3:1LourosaW
Felgueiras's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss3.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.4league 5.5under 5.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Felgueiras : LourosaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-011%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%0-19%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-012%0-00-011%0-09%0-10-110%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%58% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Felgueiras win | 38%42% · Elo 38% | 42%· Elo 38% |
| 2 – Lourosa win | 33%30% · Elo 34% | 30%· Elo 34% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Felgueiras attack vs Lourosa defenceattack1467defence1480−13 pts to the attack
Lourosa attack vs Felgueiras defenceattack1527defence1557−30 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%55%
8.543%40%
9.531%34%
10.521%18%
Each team on its own
Felgueiraswe expect 4.2, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Lourosawe expect 3.8, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 25.5 in this match, 26.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.548%52%
26.542%45%
27.536%44%
28.530%36%
Each team on its own
Felgueiraswe expect 12.0, league average 13.3 · chance of over 13.5: 33%
Lourosawe expect 13.4, league average 12.9 · chance of over 12.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.570%69%
2.545%42%
3.524%26%
4.511%14%
Each team on its own
Felgueiraswe expect 1.0, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 26%
Lourosawe expect 1.4, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lourosa: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lourosa score a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Felgueiras: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Lourosa: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Felgueiras vs Lourosa?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Felgueiras win 38%, draw 29%, Lourosa win 33%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Felgueiras vs Lourosa?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Felgueiras 1.2, Lourosa 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 40%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Felgueiras vs Lourosa?
The chance that both teams score is 47%.
When is Felgueiras vs Lourosa?
The Liga Portugal 2 match kicks off 25 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).