Liga PortugalMatchday 6
Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde
- Referee:
- Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won62%
2.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 5.1; under 5.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (61% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost45%
2.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 5.1; under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (44% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%54%O2.547%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Rio Ave2:1EstrelaW
- Estrela1:2Rio AveW
- Rio Ave2:0EstrelaW
- Estrela1:0Rio AveL
- Estrela2:2Rio AveD
Rio Ave's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.1under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.won · ended 5
RefereeG. Fernandes Correia+0.2 cards vs average28 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Rio Ave : EstrelaMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%1-09%0-09%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-18%1-010%0-07%2-19%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-110%0-18%1-01-09%1-010%0-00-09%0-07%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Estrela win | 38%33% · Elo 28% | 33%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Rio Ave win | 33%40% · Elo 43% | 40%· Elo 43% |
| X – draw | 29%27% · Elo 29% | 27%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%26% | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Rio Ave attack vs Estrela defenceattack1428defence1425+3 pts to the attack
Estrela attack vs Rio Ave defenceattack1452defence1400+52 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rio Ave concede 2.0 goals per game
- Rio Ave matches average only 3.3 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Estrela: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Rio Ave score only 0.6 goals per game
- Rio Ave: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Estrela: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Rio Ave vs Estrela?
Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela (half time 1-1).
Did the Rio Ave vs Estrela tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.