Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%O2.558%54%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Toronto FC2:1Columbus CrewL
- Columbus Crew1:1Toronto FCD
- Toronto FC1:1Columbus CrewD
- Toronto FC0:2Columbus CrewW
- Columbus Crew4:0Toronto FCW
Columbus Crew's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.9 : 1.1total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Columbus Crew : Toronto FCMost likely scores
Model1-111%1-09%2-110%2-09%3-16%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-110%2-09%3-16%0-06%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-16%3-16%0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%68% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Columbus Crew win | 55%54% · Elo 52% | 54%· Elo 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 45%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 25% | 24%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Toronto FC win | 22%22% · Elo 22% | 22%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Columbus Crew attack vs Toronto FC defenceattack1504defence1475+29 pts to the attack
Toronto FC attack vs Columbus Crew defenceattack1417defence1520−103 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%55%
9.549%44%
10.537%33%
11.527%25%
Each team on its own
Columbus Crewwe expect 5.7, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 49%
Toronto FCwe expect 4.2, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 20.3 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.546%53%
21.539%46%
22.532%40%
23.526%35%
Each team on its own
Columbus Crewwe expect 10.6, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Toronto FCwe expect 9.5, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.571%59%
3.551%39%
4.532%20%
5.518%11%
Each team on its own
Columbus Crewwe expect 2.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 65%
Toronto FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Toronto FC concede 2.0 goals per game
- Columbus Crew: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Toronto FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Columbus Crew: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Columbus Crew: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Toronto FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
Columbus Crew are the favourites. Chances: Columbus Crew win 55%, draw 23%, Toronto FC win 22%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Columbus Crew 1.9, Toronto FC 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
The MLS match kicks off 24 October 2026, 20:30 (UK time).