FC Cincinnati vs DC United: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 7d 17hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%O2.568%68%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- FC Cincinnati1:2DC UnitedL
- DC United0:1FC CincinnatiW
- DC United2:3FC CincinnatiW
- FC Cincinnati0:0DC UnitedD
- DC United3:0FC CincinnatiL
FC Cincinnati's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.2 : 1.3total 3.5Attack/defence2.3 : 1.2total 3.5
FC Cincinnati : DC UnitedMost likely scores
Model2-110%1-19%2-08%3-17%1-06%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-08%3-17%1-07%3-06%
ModelAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-08%2-08%3-13-17%3-17%1-01-06%1-07%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%87% | 87% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68%68% | 68% |
| 1 – FC Cincinnati win | 59%61% · Elo 61% | 61%· Elo 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54%53% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 41%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 21%20% · Elo 22% | 20%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – DC United win | 20%19% · Elo 17% | 19%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
FC Cincinnati attack vs DC United defenceattack1580defence1418+162 pts to the attack
DC United attack vs FC Cincinnati defenceattack1393defence1416−23 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%55%
9.549%44%
10.537%33%
11.527%25%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 6.0, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 54%
DC Unitedwe expect 3.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 18.2 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.531%53%
21.525%46%
22.519%40%
23.515%35%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 9.2, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
DC Unitedwe expect 8.7, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 27%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.556%59%
3.534%39%
4.518%20%
5.58%11%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
DC Unitedwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Cincinnati concede 2.3 goals per game
- FC Cincinnati: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- FC Cincinnati played 3 days ago
- DC United: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
FC Cincinnati are the favourites. Chances: FC Cincinnati win 59%, draw 21%, DC United win 20%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
Expected goals: 3.5 (FC Cincinnati 2.2, DC United 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 68%. Most likely score: 2-1.
When is FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
The MLS match kicks off 22 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).