Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
La Serna vs Zarate: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 22h 25mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna68%
Carlos Maria Zarate32%
Elo: J. La Serna 59% · C. Zarate 41%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. La Serna45%
2:1 J. La Serna23%
2:1 C. Zarate15%
2:0 C. Zarate18%
First set
Juan Manuel La Serna63%
Carlos Maria Zarate37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
Expected total: 22.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 48% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
Sample: 4,310 matches
Games handicap
J. La Serna −3.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes21%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. La Serna | Tour | C. Zarate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/14 | 9/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 35 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Juan Manuel La Serna
- 04/11/26WHernan Casanova#438Challenger Villa Maria · R167:6 4:6 6:3
- 03/11/26WMateo Del PinoChallenger Villa Maria · R324:6 6:0 7:5
- 27/10/26LNick Hardt#296Challenger Guayaquil · R323:6 6:3 1:6
- 23/10/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Cali · QF4:6 6:4 5:7
- 21/10/26WJuan Bautista Torres#314Challenger Cali · R166:4 6:2
- 20/10/26WHugo Dellien#107Challenger Cali · R326:3 2:0
- 17/10/26LHugo Dellien#107Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 16/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#261Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · QF6:1 6:7 6:4
- 15/10/26WGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R166:1 0:0
- 13/10/26WHernan Casanova#438Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 6:4
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 04/11/26WLucio Ratti#371Challenger Villa Maria · R166:4 6:4
- 02/11/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Villa Maria · R326:3 7:6
- 30/10/26LHugo Dellien#107Challenger Guayaquil · QF0:6 2:6
- 29/10/26WGonzalo Bueno#198Challenger Guayaquil · R163:6 7:5 7:5
- 28/10/26WAlan Magadan#496Challenger Guayaquil · R327:5 6:1
- 23/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Cali · QF2:6 6:3 5:7
- 22/10/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Cali · R162:6 7:6 0:0
- 20/10/26WFranco Ribero#683Challenger Cali · R326:1 6:3
- 15/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R162:6 2:6
- 14/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 5:7 6:4
Elo over the last year
Juan Manuel La SernaCarlos Maria Zarate
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. La Serna | C. Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–167% | 1–150% |
| Clay | 41–2265% | 17–1652% |
Head to head
J. La Serna 1–0 C. Zarate
- 25/03/26Winner: J. La Serna6:3 6:7 6:1
Road through the tournament
Juan Manuel La Serna
- 03/11/26WMateo Del PinoChallenger Villa Maria · R324:6 6:0 7:5
- 04/11/26WHernan Casanova#438Challenger Villa Maria · R167:6 4:6 6:3
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 02/11/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Villa Maria · R326:3 7:6
- 04/11/26WLucio Ratti#371Challenger Villa Maria · R166:4 6:4
Upcoming matches
- Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Ignacio Monzon vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz, · WTA 125 Cali
- Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua, · WTA 125 Cali
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans, · Challenger Bratislava 2