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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

McCabe vs Kumstat: prediction and tips

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James McCabeATP #256Elo 1598hard 1572
-:-
Jan KumstatATP #194Elo 1913hard 1821

Our tips

Tip in 1d 4h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

James McCabe23%
Jan Kumstat77%

Elo: J. McCabe 19% · J. Kumstat 81%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. McCabe13%
2:1 J. McCabe10%
2:1 J. Kumstat22%
2:0 J. Kumstat56%

First set

James McCabe29%
Jan Kumstat71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.578%22%71%
19.569%31%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,546 matches

Games handicap

J. Kumstat −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. McCabeTourJ. Kumstat
Service points won65%62%67%
Return points won34%38%38%
Service games held82%76%86%
Breaks of serve17%24%23%
Aces per service game0.700.74
Double faults per game0.210.24
Sets with a tie-break28%17%
Tie-breaks won16/3311/16
Wins in straight sets75%61%
Matches in the sample5340

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

James McCabe

  • 03/11/26LKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Taipei · R323:6 5:7
  • 27/10/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Ningbo · R321:6 6:2 6:7
  • 21/10/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 6:7 4:6
  • 19/10/26WElias Ymer#245Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:0 6:7 7:6
  • 12/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Jinan · Q16:0 3:1
  • 30/09/26LFederico Cina#136Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
  • 24/08/26LLukas Neumayer#155ATP US Open · Q11:6 4:6
  • 04/08/26LDusan Lajovic#163Challenger Lexington · R323:6 7:6 3:6
  • 25/07/26LAlex Bolt#174ATP Washington · Q16:7 6:7

Jan Kumstat

Elo over the last year

James McCabeJan Kumstat

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. McCabeJ. Kumstat
Hard court18–2245%7–558%
Clay0–20%24–486%
Grass6–555%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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