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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Finalclaybest of three sets

Seyboth Wild vs Ugo Carabelli: prediction and tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #110Elo 1906clay 1920
-:-
Camilo Ugo CarabelliATP #81Elo 1896clay 1915

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.559%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Seyboth Wild: 5 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.561%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Seyboth Wild: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.542%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ugo Carabelli: 3 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild55%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli45%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 51% · C. Ugo Carabelli 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild35%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild20%
2:1 C. Ugo Carabelli19%
2:0 C. Ugo Carabelli27%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild54%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%68%
19.566%34%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.552%48%46%
22.546%54%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,677 matches

Games handicap

T. Seyboth Wild −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourC. Ugo Carabelli
Service points won67%62%61%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held85%76%75%
Breaks of serve29%24%23%
Aces per service game0.540.31
Double faults per game0.200.24
Sets with a tie-break13%16%
Tie-breaks won12/1911/21
Wins in straight sets83%61%
Matches in the sample6453

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildCamilo Ugo Carabelli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildC. Ugo Carabelli
Hard court2–340%4–1225%
Clay44–1575%24–1267%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

T. Seyboth Wild 0–4 C. Ugo Carabelli

  • 26/02/23Winner: C. Ugo Carabelli6:1 1:6 1:6
  • 20/01/23Winner: C. Ugo Carabelli6:7 4:6
  • 10/01/23Winner: C. Ugo Carabelli6:7 0:4
  • 15/11/21Winner: C. Ugo Carabelli6:7 1:3

Road through the tournament

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Upcoming matches

See also