Vallejo vs Sonego 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 61%
Sonego: 5 matches in a row over 21.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sonego: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games; Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Vallejo 8 of 20, Sonego 10 of 20 (tour average 35%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Vallejo 57% · L. Sonego 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
Sample: 6,024 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 23.0out · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 16 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 72% | First serves in | 69% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 85% |
| 55% | Second-serve points won | 57% |
| 1/2 | Break points converted | 2/8 |
| 14/16 | Service games held | 14/15 |
| 67% | Service points won | 76% |
| 24% | Return points won | 33% |
| 89 | Total points won | 102 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Vallejo | Tour | L. Sonego | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 24% | 16% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.57 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/20 | 12/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 44% | |
| Matches in the sample | 79 | 42 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
- 31/10/26WGrigor Dimitrov#134ATP Paris · Q17:6 4:6 6:3
- 24/10/26LLorenzo Sonego#106ATP Vienna · Q12:6 6:3 3:6
- 10/10/26LTommy Paul#14ATP Shanghai · R642:6 2:6
- 08/10/26WValentin Royer#120ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 6:1
- 04/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Tokyo · QF1:6 1:6
- 03/10/26WMatteo Berrettini#43ATP Tokyo · R167:6 6:1
- 01/10/26WRafael Jodar#10ATP Tokyo · R326:1 6:3
- 29/09/26WJaime Faria#57ATP Tokyo · Q26:4 5:7 7:5
- 28/09/26WTaro Daniel#178ATP Tokyo · Q16:3 6:2
- 26/09/26LColeman Wong#85ATP Hangzhou · R166:7 6:4 3:6
Lorenzo Sonego
- 31/10/26WJaume Munar#65ATP Paris · Q16:7 6:3 6:4
- 25/10/26LJacob Fearnley#90ATP Vienna · Q21:6 7:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Vienna · Q16:2 3:6 6:3
- 19/10/26LMoise Kouame#132ATP Lyon · R326:7 4:6
- 05/10/26LAziz Dougaz#380ATP Shanghai · Q16:7 7:5 4:6
- 28/09/26LKamil Majchrzak#82ATP Tokyo · Q15:7 2:6
- 25/09/26LJenson Brooksby#94ATP Chengdu · R167:5 5:7 2:6
- 24/09/26WJames Duckworth#70ATP Chengdu · R326:4 6:4
- 08/09/26LFrancesco Passaro#153Challenger Genoa · R326:3 4:6 4:6
- 02/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · R1284:6 6:3 7:6 5:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Vallejo | L. Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–957% | 11–1248% |
| Clay | 41–1573% | 3–827% |
| Grass | 0–20% | 4–450% |
Head to head
A. Vallejo 0–1 L. Sonego
- 24/10/26Winner: L. Sonego2:6 6:3 3:6
Road through the tournament
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
- 31/10/26WGrigor Dimitrov#134ATP Paris · Q17:6 4:6 6:3
Lorenzo Sonego
- 31/10/26WJaume Munar#65ATP Paris · Q16:7 6:3 6:4
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