Primera LPFMatchday 14
Banfield vs Lanus: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%51%O2.534%46%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lanus1:0BanfieldL
- Banfield2:1LanusW
- Lanus1:1BanfieldD
- Banfield0:1LanusL
- Lanus2:2BanfieldD
Banfield's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.8under 4.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.1total 2.0Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Banfield : LanusMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-014%0-113%1-011%1-2—0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-09%0-110%1-010%1-28%0-2—2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-014%0-09%0-10-113%0-110%1-01-011%1-010%1-21-2—1-28%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 85%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 71%65% | 65% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66%54% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: no | 58%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42%51% | 51% |
| 2 – Lanus win | 39%37% · Elo 38% | 37%· Elo 38% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38%29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34%46% | 46% |
| X – draw | 32%28% · Elo 31% | 28%· Elo 31% |
| 1 – Banfield win | 29%35% · Elo 31% | 35%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Banfield attack vs Lanus defenceattack1479defence1525−46 pts to the attack
Lanus attack vs Banfield defenceattack1530defence1399+131 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.574%63%
7.561%52%
8.548%40%
9.536%30%
Each team on its own
Banfieldwe expect 4.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Lanuswe expect 4.3, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.542%56%
22.536%50%
23.529%45%
24.524%37%
Each team on its own
Banfieldwe expect 9.9, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Lanuswe expect 10.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 38%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.553%65%
3.531%41%
4.516%26%
5.57%14%
Each team on its own
Banfieldwe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Lanuswe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lanus matches average only 3.6 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Banfield matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Banfield: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Lanus: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | BanfieldClausura, Group B | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 5 | LanusClausura, Group A | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:9 | 20 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Banfield vs Lanus?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Banfield win 29%, draw 32%, Lanus win 39%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Banfield vs Lanus?
Expected goals: 2.0 (Banfield 0.9, Lanus 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 34%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Lanus?
The chance that both teams score is 42%.
When is Banfield vs Lanus?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 24 October 2026, 18:45 (UK time).