Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 31
Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%55%O2.563%63%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Chapecoense-SC1:4Botafogo RJW
- Chapecoense-SC0:1Botafogo RJW
- Botafogo RJ0:0Chapecoense-SCD
- Chapecoense-SC0:1Botafogo RJW
- Botafogo RJ1:0Chapecoense-SCW
Botafogo RJ's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.7under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 0.9total 3.3Attack/defence2.3 : 1.0total 3.3
Botafogo RJ : Chapecoense-SCMost likely scores
Market2-011%2-110%3-09%1-19%1-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%2-110%3-08%1-19%1-09%3-18%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-09%3-08%1-11-19%1-19%1-01-09%1-09%3-13-1—3-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%81% | 81% |
| 1 – Botafogo RJ win | 70%68% · Elo 62% | 68%· Elo 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%63% | 63% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%37% | 37% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 30%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 18%19% · Elo 22% | 19%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%16% | 16% |
| 2 – Chapecoense-SC win | 12%14% · Elo 16% | 14%· Elo 16% |
Attack vs defence
Botafogo RJ attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1541defence1350+191 pts to the attack
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Botafogo RJ defenceattack1416defence1510−94 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.563%55%
9.550%43%
10.539%32%
11.528%26%
Each team on its own
Botafogo RJwe expect 6.2, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 57%
Chapecoense-SCwe expect 3.9, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 23.2 in this match, 25.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.546%59%
24.539%51%
25.533%45%
26.528%40%
Each team on its own
Botafogo RJwe expect 10.6, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 28%
Chapecoense-SCwe expect 12.4, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%78%
2.547%55%
3.526%34%
4.512%20%
Each team on its own
Botafogo RJwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Chapecoense-SCwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chapecoense-SC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Chapecoense-SC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Botafogo RJ: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chapecoense-SC: newly promoted
- Botafogo RJ: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Chapecoense-SC: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Botafogo RJ | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43:48 | 36 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC?
Botafogo RJ are the favourites. Chances: Botafogo RJ win 70%, draw 18%, Chapecoense-SC win 12%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Botafogo RJ 2.4, Chapecoense-SC 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC?
The chance that both teams score is 54%.
When is Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC?
The Brasileiro Serie A match kicks off 17 October 2026, 22:00 (UK time).