Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 31
Mirassol vs Internacional: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 17hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%53%O2.549%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Internacional1:2MirassolW
- Mirassol3:1InternacionalW
- Internacional1:1MirassolD
Mirassol's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.4under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.7over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Mirassol : InternacionalMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Mirassol win | 43%50% · Elo 53% | 50%· Elo 53% |
| 2 – Internacional win | 29%25% · Elo 22% | 25%· Elo 22% |
| X – draw | 28%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%28% | 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Internacional defenceattack1493defence1497−4 pts to the attack
Internacional attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1466defence1495−29 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 8.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.552%55%
9.539%43%
10.528%32%
11.519%26%
Each team on its own
Mirassolwe expect 4.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 33%
Internacionalwe expect 3.9, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 24.1 in this match, 25.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.552%59%
24.545%51%
25.539%45%
26.533%40%
Each team on its own
Mirassolwe expect 12.0, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Internacionalwe expect 12.0, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%78%
2.556%55%
3.534%34%
4.518%20%
Each team on its own
Mirassolwe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Internacionalwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Internacional matches average 6.3 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Mirassol: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Internacional: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | 33 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mirassol vs Internacional?
Mirassol are the favourites. Chances: Mirassol win 43%, draw 28%, Internacional win 29%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Internacional?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Mirassol 1.5, Internacional 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Internacional?
The chance that both teams score is 54%.
When is Mirassol vs Internacional?
The Brasileiro Serie A match kicks off 17 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).