Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 28
Vitoria 1-3 Cruzeiro: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador (attendance: 12,952)
- Referee:
- Matheus Delgado Candancan
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won60%
referee Matheus Delgado Candancan averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 4.2 cards against a league average of 4.9
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%50%O2.553%44%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Cruzeiro3:0VitoriaL
- Cruzeiro3:1VitoriaL
- Vitoria0:0CruzeiroD
- Vitoria2:2CruzeiroD
- Cruzeiro3:1VitoriaL
Vitoria's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.3over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.9under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Delgado Candancan−2.4 cards vs average10 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Vitoria : CruzeiroMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-07%0-18%0-0—1-29%2-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-110%0-09%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-07%1-010%0-10-18%0-110%0-00-0—0-09%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%50% | 50% |
| 2 – Cruzeiro win | 40%36% · Elo 39% | 36%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Vitoria win | 32%36% · Elo 32% | 36%· Elo 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%23% | 23% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 29% | 28%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%30% | 30% |
Attack vs defence
Vitoria attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1406defence1550−144 pts to the attack
Cruzeiro attack vs Vitoria defenceattack1517defence1465+52 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vitoria score only 0.6 goals per game
- Vitoria: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Cruzeiro: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | 48 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | 36 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
Vitoria 1-3 Cruzeiro (half time 1-0).
Did the Vitoria vs Cruzeiro tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.